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Across Your Markets

Change in commodity futures prices YTD May 8, 2020: Cocoa (-4.8%); Wheat (+3.7%); Maize (-17.5%); ICE Natural gas (-55%); Gold (+12.1%); Soyabeans (-23.1%); Cotton (-18.2%); Rough rice (+27.2%); Platinum (-18.5%); Arabica coffee (-15.1%); Brent crude oil (-53.3%); Copper (-14.6%); Sugar (-23.3%);     Whilst Africa's growth in 2020 could fall to its lowest since the 2008/9 global financial crisis, the asymmetric nature of shocks facing the region, coupled with increasing investment and cross-border trade, should help the region recover speedily.

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Wednesday, October 21, 2020

Nigeria: An arsenal of ‘F’ words-Forex, Food and Fertiliser

Food and fertiliser importers will have to source foreign exchange independently of the central bank as part of efforts to stem forex outflows and narrow Nigeria’s trade deficit. The country’s trade deficit widened to NGN 178.2 billion in June 2020, the largest in over 15 years. Nigeria spent 16 percent of its total import bill

“Buckle-up chicks!”: Commodity markets are pummeled lower

Two weeks ago, WTI crude for May delivery tumbled deep into negative territory. Some could argue the writing was on the wall when major #African producers failed to secure buyers from staple and long-haul markets, against a backdrop of severely limited storage capacity. Even now, markets in contango offer little comfort to naturally-long or speculatively-short

Cameroon

The risk of debt distress in the CFA franc zone

Most of the CFA franc zone countries in both central and west Africa are currently considered to be at moderate risk of debt distress. Of the remaining four, three are deemed to be at high risk of debt distress–Cameroon, the Central African Republic and Chad; while Senegal is at low risk. None of the countries profiled is