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Across Your Markets

Change in commodity futures prices YTD May 8, 2020: Cocoa (-4.8%); Wheat (+3.7%); Maize (-17.5%); ICE Natural gas (-55%); Gold (+12.1%); Soyabeans (-23.1%); Cotton (-18.2%); Rough rice (+27.2%); Platinum (-18.5%); Arabica coffee (-15.1%); Brent crude oil (-53.3%); Copper (-14.6%); Sugar (-23.3%);     Whilst Africa's growth in 2020 could fall to its lowest since the 2008/9 global financial crisis, the asymmetric nature of shocks facing the region, coupled with increasing investment and cross-border trade, should help the region recover speedily.

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May 10, 2021

Cote d’Ivoire

Cocoa: It’s a complete mess at the moment, but whodunnit?

For anyone currently watching cocoa markets, this statement might sound familiar: “It’s a complete mess at the moment. I wish Ghana and Cote d’Ivoire would talk and listen”.   But why the accusatory stance on these producing countries? Cut to the chase and US chocolate-maker, Hershey’s, is expected to take delivery of a large volume of

The risk of debt distress in the CFA franc zone

Most of the CFA franc zone countries in both central and west Africa are currently considered to be at moderate risk of debt distress. Of the remaining four, three are deemed to be at high risk of debt distress–Cameroon, the Central African Republic and Chad; while Senegal is at low risk. None of the countries profiled is

Côte d’Ivoire’s Eurobond: The elephant in the room

A mammoth deal: Côte d’Ivoire, the world’s top producer and exporter of cocoa, has issued a $2.1 billion Eurobond, in what is the biggest recorded euro issuance from an African government. The maturity of the bond is split, with tranches due in 2030 and 2048. Market data indicate this is the second biggest EUR Eurobond offering

Cocoa markets: It never rains, it pours and pours

Franc view: In October 2016, franctrade.com forecast a bearish cocoa market, with significant downside risks anticipated in the second half of the season (see article). While the collapse in cocoa market futures may now appear overdone, particularly given fledgling political risks in the West African region, we retain our base case that markets may have

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