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Across Your Markets

Change in commodity futures prices YTD May 8, 2020: Cocoa (-4.8%); Wheat (+3.7%); Maize (-17.5%); ICE Natural gas (-55%); Gold (+12.1%); Soyabeans (-23.1%); Cotton (-18.2%); Rough rice (+27.2%); Platinum (-18.5%); Arabica coffee (-15.1%); Brent crude oil (-53.3%); Copper (-14.6%); Sugar (-23.3%);     Whilst Africa's growth in 2020 could fall to its lowest since the 2008/9 global financial crisis, the asymmetric nature of shocks facing the region, coupled with increasing investment and cross-border trade, should help the region recover speedily.

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Thursday, July 2, 2020

Ghana

Cocoa markets: It never rains, it pours and pours

Franc view: In October 2016, franctrade.com forecast a bearish cocoa market, with significant downside risks anticipated in the second half of the season (see article). While the collapse in cocoa market futures may now appear overdone, particularly given fledgling political risks in the West African region, we retain our base case that markets may have

Sell the fact! West African commodities and a Trump presidency  

Commodities traded by West African producers fell sharply ahead of the US presidential elections and are yet to recover following confirmation that Donald Trump had secured enough electoral college votes to be declared US President-elect. Strong Coffee: (Cote d’Ivoire, Cameroon) Coffee futures traded both in London and New York dived lower on Tuesday as investors,