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Across Your Markets

Change in commodity futures prices YTD May 8, 2020: Cocoa (-4.8%); Wheat (+3.7%); Maize (-17.5%); ICE Natural gas (-55%); Gold (+12.1%); Soyabeans (-23.1%); Cotton (-18.2%); Rough rice (+27.2%); Platinum (-18.5%); Arabica coffee (-15.1%); Brent crude oil (-53.3%); Copper (-14.6%); Sugar (-23.3%);     Whilst Africa's growth in 2020 could fall to its lowest since the 2008/9 global financial crisis, the asymmetric nature of shocks facing the region, coupled with increasing investment and cross-border trade, should help the region recover speedily.

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Thursday, July 2, 2020

UEMOA Zone

“Buckle-up chicks!”: Commodity markets are pummeled lower

Two weeks ago, WTI crude for May delivery tumbled deep into negative territory. Some could argue the writing was on the wall when major #African producers failed to secure buyers from staple and long-haul markets, against a backdrop of severely limited storage capacity. Even now, markets in contango offer little comfort to naturally-long or speculatively-short

Franc commentary:The CFA franc and what the Italian deputy PM said

“Luigi Di Maio, Italian deputy prime minister… accused the French government of manipulating the economies of mainly former French colonies in Africa, which use a form of the pre-independence currency known as a CFA franc.” Source: BBC Franc commentary: Myriad of African economists have argued on both sides of this issue over recent decades, so, that

The risk of debt distress in the CFA franc zone

Most of the CFA franc zone countries in both central and west Africa are currently considered to be at moderate risk of debt distress. Of the remaining four, three are deemed to be at high risk of debt distress–Cameroon, the Central African Republic and Chad; while Senegal is at low risk. None of the countries profiled is

Franctrade–How the UK trades with the CFA franc zone

Highlights Franctrade estimates the UK’s total trade with Africa fell 4% in 2017 to US$ 24.6 billion. This compares with a 4% increase in the UK’s trade with the world during the same period; Total CFA franc zone trade with the UK fell 14% in 2017 (est), steeper than the decline in the UK’s trade

FrancSterling Index (FSI): Sterling still-sluggish vs the CFA franc

FrancSterling Index: Franctrade introduces its FrancSterling Index (FSI) tracking the trade-weighted west and central African CFA franc (CFAF) against the British pound sterling (GBP). Sterling has been softer vs. the CFAF with the currency largely weighed down by market concerns related to Brexit.  A moderate recovery in the index in Q2-2017 and Q4-2017 has not

Central African Bourse: Economic rivalry may soon give way to common-sense as Douala and Libreville eye merger

Efforts are underway in the Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) to merge the Douala Stock Exchange (DSX) with Libreville’s Central African Bourse (BVMAC) after years of lacklustre activity. Prospects for the merger had been raised following a decision by the regions’ Heads of State in October 2017 with a steering committee now expected

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