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Across Your Markets

Change in commodity futures prices YTD May 8, 2020: Cocoa (-4.8%); Wheat (+3.7%); Maize (-17.5%); ICE Natural gas (-55%); Gold (+12.1%); Soyabeans (-23.1%); Cotton (-18.2%); Rough rice (+27.2%); Platinum (-18.5%); Arabica coffee (-15.1%); Brent crude oil (-53.3%); Copper (-14.6%); Sugar (-23.3%);     Whilst Africa's growth in 2020 could fall to its lowest since the 2008/9 global financial crisis, the asymmetric nature of shocks facing the region, coupled with increasing investment and cross-border trade, should help the region recover speedily.

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Monday, September 21, 2020

Softs

Nigeria: An arsenal of ‘F’ words-Forex, Food and Fertiliser

Food and fertiliser importers will have to source foreign exchange independently of the central bank as part of efforts to stem forex outflows and narrow Nigeria’s trade deficit. The country’s trade deficit widened to NGN 178.2 billion in June 2020, the largest in over 15 years. Nigeria spent 16 percent of its total import bill

“Buckle-up chicks!”: Commodity markets are pummeled lower

Two weeks ago, WTI crude for May delivery tumbled deep into negative territory. Some could argue the writing was on the wall when major #African producers failed to secure buyers from staple and long-haul markets, against a backdrop of severely limited storage capacity. Even now, markets in contango offer little comfort to naturally-long or speculatively-short

Intégrer la consommation du café dans les habitudes alimentaires

by Auguste Aouti-Communications officer (chargé de communication) at the inter-African Coffee Organization, Côte d’Ivoire KALDI, un jeune berger Ethiopien, a constaté un jour que la consommation des vives petites baies rouges qui poussaient dans la brousse aux alentours par son troupeau avait un effet énergisant sur lui. Il en mâcha à son tour quelques-unes et

Côte d’Ivoire’s Eurobond: The elephant in the room

A mammoth deal: Côte d’Ivoire, the world’s top producer and exporter of cocoa, has issued a $2.1 billion Eurobond, in what is the biggest recorded euro issuance from an African government. The maturity of the bond is split, with tranches due in 2030 and 2048. Market data indicate this is the second biggest EUR Eurobond offering

From Noha Nyamedjo and Transmar to Itochu: An unrelenting cocoa market exposes trader’s soft underbelly

Franc view: Cocoa’s implacable market has claimed a scalp in the name of Japanese trader Itochu Corp, via its partnership with the Transmar Group. Transmar currently faces a precarious financial situation which could impact its other investments along the West African cocoa belt, most recently the cocoa processing unit in Douala, Cameroon – Noha Nyamedjo

Cocoa markets: It never rains, it pours and pours

Franc view: In October 2016, franctrade.com forecast a bearish cocoa market, with significant downside risks anticipated in the second half of the season (see article). While the collapse in cocoa market futures may now appear overdone, particularly given fledgling political risks in the West African region, we retain our base case that markets may have

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